“Rapid Intensification is a possibility…”

Here is a screen shot of the 5 am National Hurricane Center discussion.

Last sentence in the screen shot tells us to watch the core of Sally on Monday. That rapid intensification is a possibility, ands stronger solutions like HWRF can’t be dismissed.

Lesson learned from Laura.  Full text of the discussion here.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/130941.shtml?

Latest forecasts are below.  HMON rapidly intensifies nearly to Cat 4.  HMON is in the middle, intensifying to nearly to Cat 2.  Experimental HAFS stays a Tropical Storm.  50 knot spread in the intensity guidance.  Plenty of room for new science.

Last 5 posts by Scott Glenn

• Early Season in the Mid Atlantic - June 17th, 2021
• Disturbance in the Gulf - June 16th, 2021
• Hurricane Gliders 2021 - May 3rd, 2021
• Hurricane Iota - November 16th, 2020
• Hurricane Eta - Low Wind Shear, High SST - November 2nd, 2020